Hyrax Marketing Budget
September 2026
Sources throughout: published guidance 2022 to 2026 from a16z, Sequoia, Accel, Greylock, Bessemer, Index Ventures, First Round Capital, Y Combinator, Conviction, General Catalyst and Union Square Ventures. Market benchmarks from Carta, PitchBook-NVCA, SVB, OpenView, SaaS Capital, Mixpanel, ICONIQ, Ebsta and DocSend. Hyrax and comparable pricing read live from vendor pages on 2026-09-15.
Where is Hyrax in our journey?
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Hyrax headcount and compensation. Carta State of Startup Compensation H2 2025 and median revenue at Series A 2025. Kruze Consulting loaded cost rates. PitchBook-NVCA and Carta Q1 2026 median round sizes. Hyrax signups from PostHog project 436309 for the 30 days to 2026-09-10, internal domains excluded. Series A payback: Bessemer State of the Cloud 2023. Series B net retention: ICONIQ 2025.
WHAT IS ALREADY COMMITTED
• Over $3M a year in salary and benefits, fully loaded
• 7 engineering and product, 1 marketing, 1 founding AE, and 4 part time GTM specialists
• Tools, media, cloud and model tokens are excluded from that figure
WHERE THAT PUTS US TODAY
Inception
$0 Raised
1 to 2 founders
No product
No revenue
Pre-seed
$1M Raised
2 to 3 people
A prototype
No revenue
Seed
$3M to $4M Raised
4 to 5 people
No product yet
No revenue
HYRAX TODAY
$8M to $10M Raised
13 people
682 signups in 30 days
23 new accounts a day
Series A
$20M+ Raised
$2.8M revenue
Growing 2x to 3x
Payback under 12 months
Series B
$50M+ Raised
$5M to $10M revenue
Growing 2x
Net retention above 110%
Our mandate: Reach $3.1M of ARR in twelve months on $856K of new money.
Hitting the $3M Series A bar in twelve months beats the twenty month median
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CRV on 24 to 30 months of runway from seed and opening the round with 12 to 18 months left. Carta and Peter Walker December 2025 on a median seed to Series A above two years and planning for 1,000 days. Bessemer State of the Cloud 2023 on 100% growth and a 1.2x burn multiple. a16z on the data room being complete before kickoff. First Round across 1,000+ rounds on four to twelve weeks of meetings. Y Combinator on six to twelve months of preparation. Full fund by fund detail in the appendix.
MILESTONES AND THE BENCHMARK EACH ONE CLEARS
Month 3
• $397K of ARR
• Activation at 30%, the level OpenView calls good
• Three consecutive months of growth, the accepted minimum
Month 6
• $979K of ARR
• Retention cohorts closed at M1, M3 and M6
• Signup to paid at 5%, the developer tools median
Month 9
• $1.8M of ARR
• Payback at 8.1 months against a 14.2 month median
• Organic above 30% of signups
Month 12
• $3.1M of ARR against a $3M median
• Burn multiple at 1.24x against a 2x ceiling
• Logo retention at 95% against 90% gross retention
RUNWAY AND THE RAISE WINDOW
Month 12
WE START RAISING
5 months
THE PROCESS RUNS
Month 18
WE MUST CLOSE BY
Month 24 to 30
RUNWAY ENDS
The median company takes twenty months and only one seed company in five arrives inside twenty four. AI companies raise nine months after monetization.
Seed investors fund founders and their vision; Series A requires proof.
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Top quartile figures as published. Bessemer State of the Cloud 2023 and State of AI 2025. ICONIQ Enterprise Five 2025 and 2023. Lightspeed Official SMB Software Benchmarking Guide, July 2023, US listed software under $12K of ACV. OpenView Product Benchmarks 2020 to 2023, up to 1,000 participants. Accel, Miles Clements. a16z Retention Is All You Need, September 2025. Craft Ventures, David Sacks. Matrix, David Skok. Fund by fund detail in the appendix.
TOP QUARTILE
Product market fit
Activation
40%
M1
Daily over monthly users
40%
M6
Month the retention curve flattens
M3
M3
Logo retention
95%
M12
Gross revenue retention
90%
M12
Net revenue retention
120%
M12
Traction and revenue
Annual recurring revenue
$4.0M
M12
ARR growth year on year
125%
M12
Free to paid on freemium
10%
M6
CAC payback
6 mo
M9
A repeatable way to grow
Visitor to signup
6%
M6
Organic share of pipeline
30%
M9
Magic number
4.0x
M9
LTV over CAC
8x
M12
Burn multiple
1.0x
M12
Gross margin
80%
M12
ARR is the only line here the budget buys directly. Every other number follows from how we get there.
$3M of ARR at $30 a seat requires 8,333 paid seats over twelve months
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Pricing read live from hyrax.dev/pricing 2026-09-15. Ten paid seats per paying workspace is an assumption and is the largest single swing in the model. OpenView 2023 across roughly 1,000 product led companies puts the developer tools
subset at 10% median visitor to signup, 20% at the top quartile, and 5% signup to paid. Full thirteen rung ladder and the sensitivity are in the accompanying model.
$3,000,000
exit ARR at month 12
8,333
paid seats at $30
877
paying workspaces
17,544
signups
161,821
website visitors
HOW THE REQUIREMENT IS DERIVED
• $3,000,000 of exit ARR, divided by $360 a seat a year
• 8,333 paid seats, at ten seats a paying workspace
• 877 paying workspaces, at 95% logo retention
• 17,544 signups, at 5% signup to paid
• 9,709 of those signups from the website, at 6% conversion
• 161,821 website visitors required
WHY 6% IS ACHIEVABLE ON THIS TRAFFIC
• Developer tools convert visitors to signups at 10% median and 20% at the top quartile, so 6% sits 40% below the median
• The marketplace listing and the assistant surface deliver signups with no site visit, so the website receives intent traffic only
• The one published comparable funnel converts 0.625% of visitors, and would need 1.8M visitors for the same result
The website carries 65% of the requirement, and 6% sits below the 10% median for developer tools.
The Tier-1 VC Growth Playbook
We evaluated playbooks from the top 9 early-stage VCs and pulled the themes; this is what we found.
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a16z, Sequoia, Accel, Greylock, Bessemer, Index Ventures, First Round Capital, Y Combinator, Conviction, General Catalyst and Union Square Ventures, published 2022 to 2026. Benchmark, Founders
Fund and Kleiner Perkins publish nothing usable at this stage.
a16z Sequoia Accel Greylock Bessemer Index Ventures First Round Capital Y Combinator Conviction General Catalyst Union Square Ventures
THEME
WHAT THE FUNDS PRESCRIBE
FUNDS
Sequence
Narrow the target, build what converts, then prove one channel at a time
6
Who to hire
One senior generalist marketer, every specialist contracted
5
Channels
Paid search on job terms plus one owned channel on a real cadence
4
Mechanics
$100 a day to 50 conversions before scaling. A free diagnostic. The 50 named accounts
5
Tools
Low code pages owned by marketing, and lead tagging with real time alerts
3
Metrics in order
Accepted leads, pipeline, daily usage, organic share, payback, retention
2
Money
All performance under $1M. Then 70% core and 30% testing. Brand re-do, under $20K
4
Exclusions
No brand agency, no second channel early, no outbound before the target, no free trials
7
The next three slides cover where this playbook has already worked, what it costs and who delivers it.
The companies that reached hypergrowth built distribution into the product first
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Research dossier section D and company funding announcements; Accel 2025-05-13 and 2026-07-06; Greylock 2024-08-06 and 2022-04-06; Conviction 2024-10-08 and 2025-08-02; RethinkDB post
mortem.
CodeRabbit
$4M seed to a $16M Series A in five months
Free reviews on public repositories, two click install, and every review posted inside a stranger's pull request
Lovable
$100M revenue in eight months with 45 people
Open sourced the predecessor to 40,000 stars, building the audience before the product existed
ElevenLabs
One million users in five months
3,000 programmatic pages plus competitor pages, and a 22% affiliate commission producing 5,600 backlinks
Supabase
350% growth with virtually no salespeople
A launch every three months, each shipping the last cycle's feedback, announced as community requested
Clay
Seven years to $1M, then $1M to $100M in two
Narrowed to one segment, churned the rest, then hired that segment's most respected operator
THE THEMES ACROSS THEM, AND WHAT THE FAILURES SHOW
• Each proved one channel to exhaustion before opening a second, and each narrowed the target before increasing spend
• Snyk raised $4M against $100K of revenue on developers who would not pay, and Jasper ran strong search marketing over a thin product
None of them outspent a competitor. Each one made the product do the acquiring first, then bought reach against a target it had already proven.
The playbook costs $856K of new money
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Allocation rules: First Round 2023-10-25 and Index Ventures 2024. Brand design ceiling: Union Square Ventures 2025-01-16. Open source pledge: Accel 2024-11-11. No fund publishes a marketing
budget benchmark for a ten person company that just raised $10M, and the research file says so directly. Month by month detail is in the accompanying model.
WHERE THE MONEY GOES
YEAR ONE
WHAT IT BUYS
METRIC MOVED
Paid search
$319,266
Job terms only at $24 to $62 a conversion, never competitor terms at $218 to $825
CAC and payback
Paid social and creators
$134,351
A shareable artifact, then paid at the customer it reveals
Signups and blended CAC
Forums and communities
$140,351
Disclosed humans, a launch every quarter, maintainer sponsorship
Win rate and retention
Pages and comparison content
$115,000
The page system built once, plus competitor comparison pages
Visitor to signup
Contracted specialists
$95,000
Paid search and social, ad creative and video
Cost per signup
Brand design, once
$20,000
Logo, site and style guide, then stop
Hygiene
Tools and data
$32,400
Research, target lists, page builder, lead alerts
Measurement
Total
$856,368
Media $518,968, contractors and tools $337,400
BY QUARTER
$95,315
Q1
$193,465
Q2
$246,582
Q3
$321,006
Q4
Back weighted, because search and content are a nine to twelve month build.
Paid media of $518,968 stays below the $1M threshold, so all of it remains directed at performance. Search must reach $72 a conversion from $121 today.
The existing team plus contractors acquires a workspace for $976
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Team shape: a16z, Greylock, Accel, First Round and Index Ventures published guidance 2023 to 2025. CAC payback bands: Bessemer State of the Cloud 2023. Gross margin of 40% is the midpoint of the 30% to 50% band Cursor reports and sits between Bessemer's 25% Supernova and 60% Shooting Star cohorts. Live cost per conversion from the Hyrax Google Ads account, 2026-06-18 to 2026-09-15.
OWNER
WHAT THEY OWN
Marketer
Strategy, messaging, the site, nine channels and every contractor
Founding AE
Seat expansion, product qualified accounts and the largest accounts
Engineering and product
Four of the nine channels: install path, assistant surface, activation, artifact
Four part time leaders
The 50 named accounts, portfolio introductions, design partners, on camera
Contracted specialists
One per channel test, plus creative, the page system, community and forums
Never contracted
A brand agency, or the strategy and messaging themselves
WHAT THE MONEY RETURNS
$976
cost to acquire a paying workspace
$1,440
the ceiling at 40% gross margin
8.1 months
payback, against a target of twelve
$0.28
of spend per $1 of new ARR
At 40% gross margin the ceiling is $1,440 a workspace and $72 a signup. Blended cost per signup of $49 clears it; paid search at $121 today does not, which is why job terms carry the channel.
The ask
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All plan figures from the accompanying model. Comparison points: SVB via Carta on a $3M median ARR at Series A; Forth & Scale 2025 across 372 companies on $177K median ARR per employee at this stage and $247K at the top quartile;
burn multiple of payroll plus media over net new ARR against the 2x underwriting ceiling; Accel 2022-12-09; Greylock 2025-08-12.
$3,104,663
exit ARR run rate
8,624
paid seats
8.1 mo
CAC payback
63%
organic share of signups
$0.28
spend per $1 of ARR
MEASURE
PLAN
TARGET
Exit ARR
$3.1M
$2.8M median
Signup to paid
5%
5%
Visitor to signup
6%
6%
Organic share of signups
63%
above 30%
CAC payback
8.1 months
under 12
Logo retention
95%
95%
Burn multiple
1.24x
under 2x
ARR per employee
$239K
$177K median
WHAT WOULD BREAK IT
• Seats per paying workspace lands at five, which doubles the funnel
• Gross margin falls below 30%, which pushes payback past twelve months
• Activation stays below 20%, which no channel can compensate for
Delivery rests on one paid channel proven inside three months and four compounding channels carried by engineering time. Payback holds at eight months on a 40% margin.
Andreessen Horowitz
Retention Is All You Need. Santiago Rodriguez and Alex Immerman. September 10 2025. Hundreds of AI companies, benchmarks drawn from dozens above $1M of ARR.
METRIC
THRESHOLD
MONTH
Retention must be rebased
From Month 0 to Month 3
3
Acquisition phase
M0 to M3. AI tourists sign up and churn inside it
3
Retention phase
M3 to M6 or M9. The curve should flatten from M3
9
Expansion phase
M9 onward
12
The ratio that predicts the rest
M12 divided by M3
12
A strong M12 over M3
Leads to long term net dollar retention above 100%
12
Why M3 and not M0
M3 is the true customer base after tourist churn
3
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Accel
Control Your Growth, Control Your Future. Miles Clements.
METRIC
THRESHOLD
MONTH
Organic inbound share of pipeline
Above 30% is excellent
9
Daily over monthly users
Above 40% is elite
6
Daily over monthly users
14% is the SaaS average
6
Daily over monthly users
30% is the SaaS 90th percentile
6
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Bessemer Venture Partners
State of the Cloud 2023. State of AI 2025, twenty AI companies, August 2025. Scaling to $100 Million, Bessemer Atlas.
METRIC
THRESHOLD
MONTH
ARR, year one
$3M Shooting Star. $40M Supernova
12
Revenue growth
75%+ good. 100%+ better. 125%+ best
12
Net revenue retention
100% good. 110% better. 120%+ best
12
Gross revenue retention
70% to 80% is acceptable for SMB cloud businesses
12
Logo retention
Above 85% good. Above 90% better. 95%+ best
12
Gross margin
65% to 70% average at any maturity. Middle 50% runs 60% to 80%
12
Gross margin, AI native
60% Shooting Star. 25% Supernova, often negative
12
CAC payback
12 to 18 months good. 6 to 12 better. 0 to 6 best
9
Burn multiple
1.2x at 100% growth
12
Efficiency score
Net new ARR over net burn. Under 0.5x good. 0.5 to 1.5x better. 1.5x+ best
12
ARR per FTE
$164K Shooting Star. $1.13M Supernova
12
Runway at the raise
12 months good. 18 better. 24+ best
12
A3 of 9
ICONIQ Growth
The ICONIQ Enterprise Five, 2025 scorecard. Enterprise Five 2023. Scaling SaaS: Forging Excellence Through Fundamentals.
METRIC
THRESHOLD
MONTH
YoY ARR growth
515% top quartile at $1M to $10M of ARR. 485% in the 2024 scorecard
12
Net dollar retention
110% to 120%
12
Gross dollar retention
Above 90% for top quartile, from churn below 10% at any scale
12
Net magic number
Above 1.0x for top quartile at any scale
9
Net magic number, product led companies
2.0x to 4.0x for top quartile
9
LTV over CAC
Above 6x for top quartile
12
CAC payback
Below 20 months for top quartile
9
Time to scale, AI native
Compressed 2x to 3x against traditional SaaS
12
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Scale Venture Partners
Benchmarking Startup Growth and Burn. Scale Studio, several hundred private and public SaaS companies.
METRIC
THRESHOLD
MONTH
Burn multiple at $0M to $1M of ARR
3.4 average
3
Burn multiple at $2.5M to $5M of ARR
Around 1.8 for top quartile growth
12
Burn multiple across the full dataset
1.6 average. $1.60 burned per $1 of net new ARR
12
Growth at $1M of ARR
50% is venture death
12
Why band matters
Growth rates are size dependent and only comparable within an ARR band
12
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CRV
Series A Metrics VCs Expect in 2026, March 31 2026. Startup Runway: How to Calculate It, Extend It and Time Your Raise.
METRIC
THRESHOLD
MONTH
ARR for a competitive round
$2M to $5M
12
Median revenue at Series A in 2025
$2.5M, around 75% above 2021
12
Net revenue retention
100% baseline. 110% to 120% competitive. 120%+ premium
12
Net revenue retention, top quartile at $1M to $3M of ARR
94%
12
Runway at seed
18 to 24 months
0
Runway when the round opens
12 to 18 months remaining
12
Start tracking metrics
12 to 18 months before the raise
0
Seed to Series A, recent cohorts
20 to 26 months
24
AI valuation premium at Series A
38% in 2025
17
A6 of 9
Craft Ventures
The Burn Multiple. David Sacks. April 23 2020.
METRIC
THRESHOLD
MONTH
Burn multiple under 1x
Amazing
12
Burn multiple 1x to 1.5x
Great
12
Burn multiple 1.5x to 2x
Good
12
Burn multiple 2x to 3x
Suspect
12
Burn multiple over 3x
Bad
12
Expected at seed
Around 3x
0
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Emergence Capital
Beyond Benchmarks 2025. The New Language of Startup Performance.
METRIC
THRESHOLD
MONTH
ARR, year one at Series A, AI native
$0 to $3M or $4M in the first year of monetizing
12
ARR growth, AI native median
100%
12
ARR growth, traditional SaaS median
23%
12
Burn multiple
Under 1x at the median
12
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Y Combinator
The Series A Guide. Built from work with 190 YC companies.
METRIC
THRESHOLD
MONTH
ARR range they have seen funded
$200K to $9M
12
Seed companies that raise a Series A
Around 30%
24
Preparation starts
6 to 12 months before the raise
0
Runway trigger to reassess
9 to 12 months remaining
12
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